Does Kavanaugh Have Enough Votes to be Confirmed?

Tomorrow starts the Senate confirmation hearings for President Trump’s nominee to the US Supreme Court, Brett Kavanaugh.

There is no doubt that the hearings will be heated as most Democrats have already made up their minds against anyone Trump picks.

However, it seems that there may be a few, very few, Democrats who would be willing to vote in favor of Kavanaugh.

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Currently, it only takes a majority vote to confirm a Supreme Court nomination.

Republicans have a very narrow 50-49 lead, with the missing vote being the vacated seat of John McCain.

(Fox News) – The Senate’s final verdict on Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh – whose high-stakes, high-wire confirmation hearing begins Tuesday – will hinge on the views of just a handful of lawmakers.

As it stands, Republicans hold a razor-thin, 50-49 majority with one vacancy. Arizona Republican Gov. Doug Ducey will soon appoint a successor to the late Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., but even then the GOP majority can suffer few defections.

These are the senators to watch:

Sens. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska
These senators can be mavericks in their own right. Further, they fret about how health care issues and access to reproductive assistance are challenging in their sprawling, rural states. Both Collins and Murkowski are moderates. A defection by either or both of these senators could spell problems for the confirmation of Kavanaugh.

Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. Paul, too, sometimes bucks his party and can be unpredictable on how he will cast his ballot. But the Kentucky Republican announced he will support Kavanaugh. In the past, Paul has flashed his libertarian streak, especially voicing concern over privacy and the use of government surveillance. If Kavanaugh can avoid setting off those Paul alarm bells in the hearing, he is likely to preserve that key support…

If Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey appoints a replacement soon enough to fill the vacated seat, then that should give Kavanaugh another vote.

Some sources are saying that if the vote to confirm Kavanaugh was taken today that it’s likely he would get 55 votes, giving him just enough to be confirmed as America’s 114th Justice of the Supreme Court.

However, some Republicans have shown themselves to be less than supportive, so there is really no telling how the vote for Kavanaugh will go.

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Dave Jolly
R.L. David Jolly holds a B.S. in Wildlife Biology and an M.S. in Biology – Population Genetics. He has worked in a number of fields, giving him a broad perspective on life, business, economics and politics. He is a very conservative Christian, husband, father and grandfather who cares deeply for his Savior, family and the future of our troubled nation.

 

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