GOP Could Lose Senate Control Before Midterm Elections

All eyes have been focusing on this year’s midterm elections, wondering who will control the Senate and House beginning next January.

Currently, Republicans enjoy a 43-seat lead in the House (238 to 193), but the lead in the Senate is tenuous with only a 4-seat lead, but only a 2-vote lead. There are 51 Republicans, 47 Democrats and 2 Independents who generally vote with the Democrats. With the intentional Democratic boycott of everything President Donald Trump tries to accomplish, most votes in the Senate end up 51-49. Just one vote is all it would take to end the narrow Republican lead and be enough for Democrats to block most of what Trump wants to accomplish.

Needless to say, Democrats are trying to pull out all of the stops to win at least 1 more seat in the Senate. This why they are suddenly making a huge emotional deal over the separation of illegal alien families. Even though the same procedure has been happening for over 20 years, it’s now a big deal ONLY because Democrats are desperate to win that one Senate seat so they can be a proverbial thorn in Trump’s side.

Midterm elections have a history of changing control of at least one of the chambers of Congress.

In the 1986 midterm elections, Republicans regained control of the Senate.

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In the 1994 midterm elections, Democrats regained control of the Senate and House.

In the 2002 midterm elections, Democrats regained control of the Senate.

In the 2006 midterm elections, Republicans regained control of the House.

In the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans regained control of the House.

In the 2014 midterm elections, Republicans regained control of the Senate.

The big question everyone is asking is will history will repeat itself with Democrats regaining control of the Senate and/or the House? If so, it would be devastating to President Trump and to the American people.

This brings up the question of Trump’s second selection for a Supreme Court Nominee. If you recall, when justice Anthony Scalia died suddenly, the Republican-controlled Senate blocked Barack Obama’s nomination of Judge Merrick Garland. Senate Republicans said they would not take any action to approval an Obama nominee until after the 2016 election on the hope that Donald Trump could somehow defeat Hillary Clinton, which he did. Trump then nominated Neil Gorsuch.

With the retirement of Justice Anthony Kennedy at the end of this month, Democrats are calling for no action to be taken on Trump’s nominee to replace Kennedy, until after the midterm elections. Senate Republicans want to take action prior to the midterm elections in the event that Democrats win control of the Senate.

However, there is the possibility that Republicans could lose control of the Senate before the midterm elections and if this happens, it could drastically impact the confirmation of Trump’s Supreme Court nominee.

The possibility of Republicans losing control of the Senate rests on who Trump picks as his Supreme Court nominee. If the person is a pro-life judge, the possibility may arise that one or two current Republican Senators may decide to leave the Republican Party. If they do, they would probably declare themselves to be Independents, who, on the case of a Supreme Court nominee, will vote with Democrats against Republicans, which would make the vote 49-51.

Who are these two Senators?

Senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Both of them are moderates, not conservatives and both support abortion and Roe v. Wade. Both have made it known that if Trump selects an anti-Roe v. Wade nominee, they will vote against confirmation solely for that reason. Some people anticipate that this would be enough to cause one or both of them to switch from the Republican Party to being Independents. If that happens, Republicans no longer have control of the Senate and all heck, chaos and political warfare will take place in Washington DC, leaving the American people in a deep dark hole of despair.

Dave Jolly
R.L. David Jolly holds a B.S. in Wildlife Biology and an M.S. in Biology – Population Genetics. He has worked in a number of fields, giving him a broad perspective on life, business, economics and politics. He is a very conservative Christian, husband, father and grandfather who cares deeply for his Savior, family and the future of our troubled nation.
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